No one needs telling that the Future is Coming. But there are different perspectives and attitudes toward it. Scenarios and futures thinking needs to embrace grittier complex narratives to really engage their audiences.
NZ’s Productivity Commission has developed draft scenarios looking at the impact of technological change on the future of work. They want to know if they are useful for considering the future labour market effects of technological change. My initial response is no.
It’s hard to find a way through the forest of forecasts about the impact new technologies will have on work and life. Is it going to be terrible, awesome, same same, all of the above, or something else?